ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) Stumbles Slightly: Is the Bounce Coming Soon?

Jacques Francis

Updated on:

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) opened Thursday with a modest dip of -0.54%, hitting $16.58 before closing slightly higher at $16.67. The stock has traded within a 52-week range of $13.18 to $19.66, reflecting moderate volatility. The company has 111.90 million shares outstanding with a float of 111.47 million, and a market capitalization of $1.86 billion. Its 50-day and 200-day moving averages stand at $15.49 and $16.53, providing reference points for technical traders monitoring momentum.

Ownership and Insider Activity

In the REIT – Mortgage industry, ARMOUR Residential REIT has insider ownership of just 0.39%, while institutional ownership is 43.67%. Recent insider transactions include a sale of 2,500 shares at $18.07 on January 13, 2025, totaling $45,178, and a prior sale of 24,852 shares at $18.78 on December 31, 2024, totaling $466,793. The insider currently holds 363 shares. Tracking these trades helps gauge management sentiment and the confidence level of key stakeholders in the stock.

Earnings and Revenue

The company reported a negative EPS of -14.14% for the current fiscal year, reflecting some short-term challenges. Analysts forecast EPS to rise to 3.26 in the next fiscal year, although the longer-term five-year EPS trend is expected to decline slightly by -3.73%, in contrast to the impressive 53.38% growth achieved over the prior five years. For the next fiscal period, projected earnings are $0.75 per share, signaling a potential rebound opportunity.

Trading Performance and Financial Metrics

ARMOUR Residential REIT exhibits a Quick Ratio of 1.12, showing solid short-term liquidity. Its PE Ratio is 358.10, and Beta is 1.43, indicating relatively high volatility compared to the market. The Price-to-Sales (TTM) is 2.53, and Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow (TTM) is 10.36. Diluted EPS (TTM) is 0.05, expected to reach 0.77 next quarter and 3.26 over the next 12 months. These figures offer investors a snapshot of valuation, earnings potential, and overall financial health.

Technical Analysis

Recent trading data shows a last 5-day volume of 2.29 million, down from 3.04 million a year ago. Over the previous 9 days, the stock’s Stochastic %D was 87.84%, with an Average True Range (ATR) of 68.10. The 100-day raw Stochastic average is 86.67%, slightly higher than 84.13% over the past two weeks, indicating strong short-term momentum. Historic volatility over the past 14 days was 0.30, modestly above the 0.29 recorded over the past 100 days, suggesting relatively stable price swings.

Summary

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) is showing signs of stabilization after a minor decline, with strong institutional support and a potential earnings rebound on the horizon. While the high PE ratio and modest insider activity may raise caution for some traders, its technical indicators and historical growth patterns point to possible opportunities for investors willing to monitor closely.

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